Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Seoul il 26 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Seoul il 26 luglio?
31°C 35%
30°C 33%
32°C 19%
29°C 12%
NUOVO
$24,356 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,356 Vol.
26 lug 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
12%
30°C
33%
31°C
35%
32°C
19%
33°C or higher
5%
31°C 35%
30°C 33%
32°C 19%
29°C 12%
NUOVO
$24,356 Vol.
NUOVO
$24,356 Vol.
26 lug 2026
23°C or below
$392 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$615 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,026 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,797 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,099 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,674 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,386 Vol.
12%
30°C
$2,978 Vol.
33%
31°C
$2,019 Vol.
35%
32°C
$2,924 Vol.
19%
33°C or higher
$6,595 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$24,356Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,356Data di fine
26 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and ensemble forecasts for Seoul on July 26 center on a daytime maximum near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with morning showers and possible afternoon clearing, driving the market’s peak implied probability of 32% at that threshold. Typical late-July climatology features highs of 28–32°C amid lingering monsoon moisture and high humidity, which can suppress or enhance peaks depending on cloud cover and timing of rain. Model consensus shows modest spread around 29–32°C due to uncertainty in convective timing and steering flow, while historical analogs rarely exceed 33°C this late in the season without stronger subtropical ridging. Traders weigh these variables against the resolution criteria of official KMA observations, with fresh short-range updates expected to refine odds ahead of the date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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