Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post voting, driven by recent April 11 polling showing her at 25% amid a splintered field where incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 23% and Green Peter Underwood at 22%. Perry faces backlash over council debt exceeding £500 million and 33% council tax hikes, eroding support, while Underwood gains from Green by-election momentum, including a recent Kent win from Reform, and voter shifts on Middle East policy amid Labour's national struggles. Reform's Ben Flook at 18% in polls appears peaked, fragmenting right-wing votes and boosting Davis's path despite a Labour manifesto u-turn on Israel arms investments drawing Conservative criticism. With three weeks left, turnout in Croydon's diverse wards could tip the closely contested race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Croydon
Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Croydon
Rowenna Davis 63%
Peter Underwood 17.3%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph 1.1%
$18,266 Vol.
$18,266 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
63%

Peter Underwood
17%

Jason Perry
17%

Jose Joseph
1%

Ben Flook
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
Rowenna Davis 63%
Peter Underwood 17.3%
Jason Perry 17%
Jose Joseph 1.1%
$18,266 Vol.
$18,266 Vol.

Rowenna Davis
63%

Peter Underwood
17%

Jason Perry
17%

Jose Joseph
1%

Ben Flook
<1%

Richard Howard
<1%

Michael Pusey
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Mercato aperto: Apr 6, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Rowenna Davis leads Polymarket trader consensus at 62.5% implied probability to win the Croydon mayoral election on May 7 under first-past-the-post voting, driven by recent April 11 polling showing her at 25% amid a splintered field where incumbent Conservative Jason Perry trails at 23% and Green Peter Underwood at 22%. Perry faces backlash over council debt exceeding £500 million and 33% council tax hikes, eroding support, while Underwood gains from Green by-election momentum, including a recent Kent win from Reform, and voter shifts on Middle East policy amid Labour's national struggles. Reform's Ben Flook at 18% in polls appears peaked, fragmenting right-wing votes and boosting Davis's path despite a Labour manifesto u-turn on Israel arms investments drawing Conservative criticism. With three weeks left, turnout in Croydon's diverse wards could tip the closely contested race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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