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icon for Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Rafael López Aliaga 100.0%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

José Luna <1%

Fiorella Molinelli <1%

Polymarket

$1,144,420 Vol.

Rafael López Aliaga 100.0%

Keiko Fujimori <1%

José Luna <1%

Fiorella Molinelli <1%

Polymarket

$1,144,420 Vol.

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$30,639 Vol.

No

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$26,675 Vol.

No

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$24,072 Vol.

No

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$67,108 Vol.

No

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$26,659 Vol.

No

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$22,633 Vol.

No

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$25,941 Vol.

No

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$31,807 Vol.

No

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$29,022 Vol.

No

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$27,974 Vol.

No

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$25,060 Vol.

No

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$24,630 Vol.

No

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$147,379 Vol.

No

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$23,284 Vol.

No

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$22,904 Vol.

No

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$25,190 Vol.

No

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$22,347 Vol.

No

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$184,243 Vol.

No

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$259,503 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$21,254 Vol.

No

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$24,594 Vol.

No

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$22,988 Vol.

No

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$28,513 Vol.

No

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding market position for third place in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote because the near-complete official tally places him narrowly behind Roberto Sánchez for the runoff spot. Early counts briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, yet the final figures with more than 99 percent of ballots processed confirm Fujimori in first, Sánchez in second, and López Aliaga third by roughly 13,000 votes. Sánchez’s late surge among left-leaning voters and the absence of any successful legal challenges to the results have locked in this ordering. While López Aliaga has alleged irregularities and called for annulment, electoral authorities and observers have found no evidence to alter the certified outcome ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$1,144,420
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Rafael López Aliaga holds a commanding market position for third place in Peru’s April 12 first-round presidential vote because the near-complete official tally places him narrowly behind Roberto Sánchez for the runoff spot. Early counts briefly showed López Aliaga ahead, yet the final figures with more than 99 percent of ballots processed confirm Fujimori in first, Sánchez in second, and López Aliaga third by roughly 13,000 votes. Sánchez’s late surge among left-leaning voters and the absence of any successful legal challenges to the results have locked in this ordering. While López Aliaga has alleged irregularities and called for annulment, electoral authorities and observers have found no evidence to alter the certified outcome ahead of the June 7 runoff.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$1,144,420
Data di fine
12 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 23 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Rafael López Aliaga" a 100%, seguito da "Keiko Fujimori" a 0%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 100¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" ha generato $1.1 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 20, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place", esplora i 23 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" è "Rafael López Aliaga" a 100%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 100% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Keiko Fujimori" a 0%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Peru Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.