In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, vote counting by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) remains ongoing amid delays from ballot delivery issues, with over 90% of ballots tallied as of April 16. Keiko Fujimori leads securely for first place at around 17%, setting up a June 7 runoff with the second-place finisher. Trader consensus prices Rafael López Aliaga (65%) as the likely third-place candidate, driven by his pre-election strength in urban Lima where remaining uncounted ballots are concentrated, potentially reversing Roberto Sánchez Palomino's narrow current edge (34% odds for third). Sánchez's rural vote surge has tightened the contest for advancement, but historical urban-rural divides and López Aliaga's disputes over the tally sustain market skepticism on his slide below second.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrimo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 3° posto
Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Perù: 3° posto
Rafael López Aliaga 65.3%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.1%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$590,055 Vol.
$590,055 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
34%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 65.3%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 34.1%
Jorge Nieto <1%
Ricardo Belmont <1%
$590,055 Vol.
$590,055 Vol.
Rafael López Aliaga
65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
34%
Jorge Nieto
<1%
Ricardo Belmont
<1%
Keiko Fujimori
<1%
José Luna
<1%
Fiorella Molinelli
<1%
Yonhy Lescano
<1%
Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Fernando Olivera
<1%
Carlos Álvarez
<1%
Alfonso López Chau
<1%
George Forsyth
<1%
Enrique Valderrama
<1%
Mesías Guevara
<1%
César Acuña
<1%
Roberto Chiabra
<1%
Carlos Espá
<1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%
Mario Vizcarra
<1%
Vladimir Cerrón
<1%
José Williams
<1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercato aperto: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election, vote counting by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) remains ongoing amid delays from ballot delivery issues, with over 90% of ballots tallied as of April 16. Keiko Fujimori leads securely for first place at around 17%, setting up a June 7 runoff with the second-place finisher. Trader consensus prices Rafael López Aliaga (65%) as the likely third-place candidate, driven by his pre-election strength in urban Lima where remaining uncounted ballots are concentrated, potentially reversing Roberto Sánchez Palomino's narrow current edge (34% odds for third). Sánchez's rural vote surge has tightened the contest for advancement, but historical urban-rural divides and López Aliaga's disputes over the tally sustain market skepticism on his slide below second.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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