Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021 amid chronic deadlock. Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey (32% for PB projecting 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly versus GERB-SDS at 19%), Sova Harris (April 2-6: 33.6%, 94 seats), and Poll of Polls averages (~31%), reflect a stable double-digit lead fueled by Radev's anti-oligarch platform and voter frustration with establishment parties like GERB-SDS, PP-DB, and DPS. While PB rules out pre-election coalitions, its dominance persists despite turnout concerns; late scandals, geopolitical shifts, or a rival surge could challenge this, though recent stability suggests low risk before Sunday's vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPB 98.0%
GERB–SDS 1.7%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$202,440 Vol.
$202,440 Vol.
19 apr 2026
PB
98%
GERB–SDS
2%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
<1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
BSP-Sinistra Unita
<1%
MECH
<1%
Vazrazhdane
<1%
PB 98.0%
GERB–SDS 1.7%
PP–DB <1%
DPS <1%
$202,440 Vol.
$202,440 Vol.
19 apr 2026
PB
$73,941 Vol.
98%
GERB–SDS
$29,555 Vol.
2%
PP–DB
$28,095 Vol.
1%
DPS
$4,252 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$11,889 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$15,738 Vol.
<1%
APS
$11,608 Vol.
<1%
BSP-Sinistra Unita
$7,898 Vol.
<1%
MECH
$10,144 Vol.
<1%
Vazrazhdane
$9,543 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021 amid chronic deadlock. Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey (32% for PB projecting 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly versus GERB-SDS at 19%), Sova Harris (April 2-6: 33.6%, 94 seats), and Poll of Polls averages (~31%), reflect a stable double-digit lead fueled by Radev's anti-oligarch platform and voter frustration with establishment parties like GERB-SDS, PP-DB, and DPS. While PB rules out pre-election coalitions, its dominance persists despite turnout concerns; late scandals, geopolitical shifts, or a rival surge could challenge this, though recent stability suggests low risk before Sunday's vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volume
$202,440Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021 amid chronic deadlock. Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey (32% for PB projecting 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly versus GERB-SDS at 19%), Sova Harris (April 2-6: 33.6%, 94 seats), and Poll of Polls averages (~31%), reflect a stable double-digit lead fueled by Radev's anti-oligarch platform and voter frustration with establishment parties like GERB-SDS, PP-DB, and DPS. While PB rules out pre-election coalitions, its dominance persists despite turnout concerns; late scandals, geopolitical shifts, or a rival surge could challenge this, though recent stability suggests low risk before Sunday's vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volume
$202,440Data di fine
19 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.5% implied probability of securing the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, the eighth since 2021 amid chronic deadlock. Recent polls, including CAM's April 3-14 survey (32% for PB projecting 90 seats in the 240-seat National Assembly versus GERB-SDS at 19%), Sova Harris (April 2-6: 33.6%, 94 seats), and Poll of Polls averages (~31%), reflect a stable double-digit lead fueled by Radev's anti-oligarch platform and voter frustration with establishment parties like GERB-SDS, PP-DB, and DPS. While PB rules out pre-election coalitions, its dominance persists despite turnout concerns; late scandals, geopolitical shifts, or a rival surge could challenge this, though recent stability suggests low risk before Sunday's vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti