Provisional results from Benin's National Autonomous Electoral Commission (CENA) show Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes in the April 12 presidential election, driving trader consensus to 98.4% implied probability for him as next president following incumbent Patrice Talon's decision to step down after a decade in power. As Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition candidate, Wadagni benefited from parliamentary control established in January elections and his opponent's early concession by Paul Hounkpè, signaling broad acceptance amid a field limited to two contenders. Official certification remains pending, but overturning the landslide would require substantiated fraud claims or court intervention—scenarios unlikely given the margin and Hounkpè's acknowledgment. Wadagni now eyes northern security threats and poverty reduction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNext President of Benin
Next President of Benin
$29,903 Vol.
$29,903 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Romuald Wadagni
98%
Paul Hounkpè
<1%
$29,903 Vol.
$29,903 Vol.
12 apr 2026
Romuald Wadagni
$20,544 Vol.
98%
Paul Hounkpè
$9,359 Vol.
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's National Autonomous Electoral Commission (CENA) show Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes in the April 12 presidential election, driving trader consensus to 98.4% implied probability for him as next president following incumbent Patrice Talon's decision to step down after a decade in power. As Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition candidate, Wadagni benefited from parliamentary control established in January elections and his opponent's early concession by Paul Hounkpè, signaling broad acceptance amid a field limited to two contenders. Official certification remains pending, but overturning the landslide would require substantiated fraud claims or court intervention—scenarios unlikely given the margin and Hounkpè's acknowledgment. Wadagni now eyes northern security threats and poverty reduction.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Volume
$29,903Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Provisional results from Benin's National Autonomous Electoral Commission (CENA) show Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes in the April 12 presidential election, driving trader consensus to 98.4% implied probability for him as next president following incumbent Patrice Talon's decision to step down after a decade in power. As Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition candidate, Wadagni benefited from parliamentary control established in January elections and his opponent's early concession by Paul Hounkpè, signaling broad acceptance amid a field limited to two contenders. Official certification remains pending, but overturning the landslide would require substantiated fraud claims or court intervention—scenarios unlikely given the margin and Hounkpè's acknowledgment. Wadagni now eyes northern security threats and poverty reduction.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Benin on 12 April 2026, with a potential runoff to be held within 15 days if no candidate secures an absolute majority.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally declared elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected as President of Benin following the 2026 presidential election. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Benin and the relevant electoral authorities of Benin, including the Autonomous National Electoral Commission (https://www.cena.bj/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$29,903Data di fine
12 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Provisional results from Benin's National Autonomous Electoral Commission (CENA) show Romuald Wadagni securing over 94% of votes in the April 12 presidential election, driving trader consensus to 98.4% implied probability for him as next president following incumbent Patrice Talon's decision to step down after a decade in power. As Talon's finance minister and ruling coalition candidate, Wadagni benefited from parliamentary control established in January elections and his opponent's early concession by Paul Hounkpè, signaling broad acceptance amid a field limited to two contenders. Official certification remains pending, but overturning the landslide would require substantiated fraud claims or court intervention—scenarios unlikely given the margin and Hounkpè's acknowledgment. Wadagni now eyes northern security threats and poverty reduction.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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