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Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska

icon for Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska
Elezioni·Elezioni Principali

Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Ćamil Duraković 3.6%

Begija Smajić 3.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Savo Minić 60%

Branko Blanuša 37%

Ćamil Duraković 3.6%

Begija Smajić 3.5%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Savo Minić

Savo Minić

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for Branko Blanuša

Branko Blanuša

$443 Vol.

37%

icon for Ćamil Duraković

Ćamil Duraković

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for Begija Smajić

Begija Smajić

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for Jusuf Arifagić

Jusuf Arifagić

$119 Vol.

4%

icon for Bogdan Jovanović

Bogdan Jovanović

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ramiz Salkić

Ramiz Salkić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivan Begić

Ivan Begić

$79 Vol.

<1%

icon for Igor Balukčić

Igor Balukčić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Franjo Jukić

Franjo Jukić

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marko Jorgić

Marko Jorgić

$81 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ivo Kamenjašević

Ivo Kamenjašević

$81 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,954
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.izbori.ba/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,954
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://www.izbori.ba/

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Correlati

icon for Bakir Izetbegović sarà il membro bosniaco della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

Bakir Izetbegović sarà il membro bosniaco della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

53%
Sì
icon for Darijana Filipović sarà il membro croato della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

Darijana Filipović sarà il membro croato della Presidenza della Bosnia ed Erzegovina dopo le elezioni generali del 2026?

70%
Sì
icon for Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

Will Željka Cvijanović be the Serb Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?

87%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Savo Minić" a 60%, seguito da "Branko Blanuša" a 37%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 60¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 24, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" è "Savo Minić" a 60%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 60% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Branko Blanuša" a 37%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Elezioni presidenziali in Republika Srpska" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.