Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92% implied probability for the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial winner, driven by the state's blue tilt—evident in Biden's +13% 2020 margin and Polis's +19% 2022 reelection—and an open seat vacated by term-limited Democratic Gov. Jared Polis, with a strong bench including popular AG Phil Weiser, who secured top primary ballot placement in late March and launched his first TV ad on April 15. Sen. Michael Bennet leads early Democratic primary polls at 53%, while fragmented Republicans endorsed state Rep. Scott Bottoms atop their June 30 primary ballot last week amid lesser-known contenders. An April generic poll shows Democrats ahead 50-38, despite rising economic pessimism hurting Democratic favorability. A GOP surge via national wave, unified post-primary nominee, or Democratic scandal could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Colorado
Vincitore delle elezioni del Governatore del Colorado
$10,414 Vol.
$10,414 Vol.

Democratico
92%

Repubblicano
6%
$10,414 Vol.
$10,414 Vol.

Democratico
92%

Repubblicano
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats at 92% implied probability for the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial winner, driven by the state's blue tilt—evident in Biden's +13% 2020 margin and Polis's +19% 2022 reelection—and an open seat vacated by term-limited Democratic Gov. Jared Polis, with a strong bench including popular AG Phil Weiser, who secured top primary ballot placement in late March and launched his first TV ad on April 15. Sen. Michael Bennet leads early Democratic primary polls at 53%, while fragmented Republicans endorsed state Rep. Scott Bottoms atop their June 30 primary ballot last week amid lesser-known contenders. An April generic poll shows Democrats ahead 50-38, despite rising economic pessimism hurting Democratic favorability. A GOP surge via national wave, unified post-primary nominee, or Democratic scandal could shift odds before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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