Paul Gosar holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 9th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent in a district with a longstanding Republican tilt. Trader consensus reflects his repeated primary and general election victories, established fundraising base, and name recognition against a lesser-known Democratic challenger in Dani Sterbinsky. With the November 2026 general election two months away, few recent developments have altered the baseline partisan math or introduced competitive polling shifts. Late-breaking national waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still compress the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats show such reversals remain uncommon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$26,127 Vol.
$26,127 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Paul Gosar (R)
95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
4%
$26,127 Vol.
$26,127 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Paul Gosar (R)
$10,243 Vol.
95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
$15,884 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Gosar holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 9th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent in a district with a longstanding Republican tilt. Trader consensus reflects his repeated primary and general election victories, established fundraising base, and name recognition against a lesser-known Democratic challenger in Dani Sterbinsky. With the November 2026 general election two months away, few recent developments have altered the baseline partisan math or introduced competitive polling shifts. Late-breaking national waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still compress the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats show such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$26,127Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Paul Gosar holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 9th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent in a district with a longstanding Republican tilt. Trader consensus reflects his repeated primary and general election victories, established fundraising base, and name recognition against a lesser-known Democratic challenger in Dani Sterbinsky. With the November 2026 general election two months away, few recent developments have altered the baseline partisan math or introduced competitive polling shifts. Late-breaking national waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still compress the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats show such reversals remain uncommon.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,127Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Paul Gosar holds a commanding lead in the Arizona 9th congressional district race as the Republican incumbent in a district with a longstanding Republican tilt. Trader consensus reflects his repeated primary and general election victories, established fundraising base, and name recognition against a lesser-known Democratic challenger in Dani Sterbinsky. With the November 2026 general election two months away, few recent developments have altered the baseline partisan math or introduced competitive polling shifts. Late-breaking national waves, candidate health events, or major scandals could still compress the margin, though historical patterns in similar safe seats show such reversals remain uncommon.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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