Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th congressional district due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, followed by an easy Democratic primary win. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia benefits from incumbency in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with recent voting patterns showing consistent Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican momentum in the seat. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health event, or broad national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition and Mejia’s established campaign infrastructure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$42,532 Vol.
$42,532 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
5%
$42,532 Vol.
$42,532 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Analilia Mejia (D)
$23,615 Vol.
96%
Joe Hathaway (R)
$18,917 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th congressional district due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, followed by an easy Democratic primary win. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia benefits from incumbency in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with recent voting patterns showing consistent Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican momentum in the seat. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health event, or broad national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition and Mejia’s established campaign infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$42,532Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th congressional district due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, followed by an easy Democratic primary win. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia benefits from incumbency in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with recent voting patterns showing consistent Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican momentum in the seat. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health event, or broad national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition and Mejia’s established campaign infrastructure.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,532Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia holds a commanding position in the November 2026 general election for New Jersey’s 11th congressional district due to her April 2026 special election victory by roughly 21 points over Joe Hathaway, followed by an easy Democratic primary win. As the sitting representative following Mikie Sherrill’s resignation, Mejia benefits from incumbency in a district rated solid Democratic by multiple forecasters, with recent voting patterns showing consistent Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the current pricing aligns with these structural advantages and limited Republican momentum in the seat. A significant shift would require unforeseen developments such as a major scandal, health event, or broad national political realignment capable of overcoming the district’s baseline partisan composition and Mejia’s established campaign infrastructure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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