Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Busan mayoral race at 80% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus from recent polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey and 45% to 35% in a JTBC poll, both post-nomination last week. Primaries concluded April 9-11, confirming the head-to-head matchup for the June 3 local elections in this traditional conservative battleground, where Chun's momentum amid national Democratic Party strength has boosted his frontrunner status despite Park's bid for a third term. Minor candidates like Cho Kuk trail far behind due to limited support, with upcoming debates and swing voter shifts as key risks before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Busan
2026 Vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Busan
Chun Jae-soo 80%
Park Heong-joon 18%
Cho Kuk <1%
Kim Do-eup <1%
$396,260 Vol.
$396,260 Vol.
Chun Jae-soo
80%
Park Heong-joon
18%
Cho Kuk
1%
Kim Do-eup
<1%
Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Hong Soon-heon
<1%
Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%
Choi In-ho
<1%
Lee Jae-sung
<1%
Kim Young-choon
<1%
Park Jae-ho
<1%
Suh Byung-soo
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 80%
Park Heong-joon 18%
Cho Kuk <1%
Kim Do-eup <1%
$396,260 Vol.
$396,260 Vol.
Chun Jae-soo
80%
Park Heong-joon
18%
Cho Kuk
1%
Kim Do-eup
<1%
Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Hong Soon-heon
<1%
Cho Kyoung-tae
<1%
Choi In-ho
<1%
Lee Jae-sung
<1%
Kim Young-choon
<1%
Park Jae-ho
<1%
Suh Byung-soo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Party Rep. Chun Jae-soo holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Busan mayoral race at 80% implied probability on Polymarket, reflecting trader consensus from recent polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by double digits—48% to 35% in a Busan MBC survey and 45% to 35% in a JTBC poll, both post-nomination last week. Primaries concluded April 9-11, confirming the head-to-head matchup for the June 3 local elections in this traditional conservative battleground, where Chun's momentum amid national Democratic Party strength has boosted his frontrunner status despite Park's bid for a third term. Minor candidates like Cho Kuk trail far behind due to limited support, with upcoming debates and swing voter shifts as key risks before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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