Trump’s ongoing second term, secured in the 2024 election and running through January 2029, underpins trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment efforts, while no credible Cabinet or vice-presidential support exists for invoking the 25th Amendment despite isolated Democratic calls. Trump continues active governance on trade, energy, and foreign policy challenges including Iran-related tensions, with public statements focusing on post-presidency plans rather than early exit. Speculation from critics about midterm losses or personal factors remains unverified and has not altered his schedule or public posture. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or an unprecedented bipartisan push for removal, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
3% probabilità
$23,487 Vol.
$23,487 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
3% probabilità
$23,487 Vol.
$23,487 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s ongoing second term, secured in the 2024 election and running through January 2029, underpins trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment efforts, while no credible Cabinet or vice-presidential support exists for invoking the 25th Amendment despite isolated Democratic calls. Trump continues active governance on trade, energy, and foreign policy challenges including Iran-related tensions, with public statements focusing on post-presidency plans rather than early exit. Speculation from critics about midterm losses or personal factors remains unverified and has not altered his schedule or public posture. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or an unprecedented bipartisan push for removal, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$23,487Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s ongoing second term, secured in the 2024 election and running through January 2029, underpins trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment efforts, while no credible Cabinet or vice-presidential support exists for invoking the 25th Amendment despite isolated Democratic calls. Trump continues active governance on trade, energy, and foreign policy challenges including Iran-related tensions, with public statements focusing on post-presidency plans rather than early exit. Speculation from critics about midterm losses or personal factors remains unverified and has not altered his schedule or public posture. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or an unprecedented bipartisan push for removal, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,487Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Trump’s ongoing second term, secured in the 2024 election and running through January 2029, underpins trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Republican congressional majorities have consistently blocked impeachment efforts, while no credible Cabinet or vice-presidential support exists for invoking the 25th Amendment despite isolated Democratic calls. Trump continues active governance on trade, energy, and foreign policy challenges including Iran-related tensions, with public statements focusing on post-presidency plans rather than early exit. Speculation from critics about midterm losses or personal factors remains unverified and has not altered his schedule or public posture. Realistic shifts could still arise from sudden health events, unforeseen legal developments, or an unprecedented bipartisan push for removal, though none appear imminent based on current evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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