Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$15,427 Vol.
$15,427 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$15,427 Vol.
$15,427 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volume
$15,427Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,427Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 95% implied probability against President Trump resigning before 2027, driven by the absence of substantive political pressures or official actions signaling an exit during his second term. Recent Easter weekend social media rumors of a health crisis or hospitalization were promptly debunked by White House statements and fact-checkers, revealing no verified medical issues. The March 17 resignation of National Counterterrorism Center Director Joe Kent over Iran policy disagreements remains an isolated incident without broader cabinet upheaval or calls for Trump's departure. Partisan speculation, such as Democrat strategist James Carville's prediction of a voluntary step-down by April 2027, has failed to sway markets amid GOP congressional majorities, no active impeachment proceedings, and Trump's historical resistance to resignation. Late-breaking scandals, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or confirmed health declines could still alter trader sentiment.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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