Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 19°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This reading aligns with autumn climatology for the region, where April averages hover around 20–22°C, but persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and an unstable low-pressure system with scattered showers capped daytime heating despite earlier forecasts near 22–23°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources had anticipated mild conditions, yet real-time surface data reflects suppressed solar insolation. With data finalized, no realistic challenges remain barring rare measurement revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 20?
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$109,423 Vol.
$109,423 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$109,423 Vol.
$109,423 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 18, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 20 reached exactly 19°C, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This reading aligns with autumn climatology for the region, where April averages hover around 20–22°C, but persistent cloud cover, high humidity above 90%, and an unstable low-pressure system with scattered showers capped daytime heating despite earlier forecasts near 22–23°C. Model consensus from SMN and international sources had anticipated mild conditions, yet real-time surface data reflects suppressed solar insolation. With data finalized, no realistic challenges remain barring rare measurement revisions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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