Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 21?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$232,736 Vol.
$232,736 Vol.
21 apr 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$232,736 Vol.
$232,736 Vol.
21 apr 2026
12°C or below
$5,233 Vol.
No
13°C
$4,658 Vol.
No
14°C
$50,190 Vol.
No
15°C
$5,973 Vol.
No
16°C
$12,976 Vol.
No
17°C
$51,770 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$14,812 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,203 Vol.
No
20°C
$74,997 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,353 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,569 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$232,736Data di fine
21 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$232,736Data di fine
21 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 19, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 17°C at 100% implied probability for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 21, 2026, driven by official South African Weather Service (SAWS) observations from Cape Town International Airport—the market's designated station—which recorded a maximum of 17°C amid partly cloudy skies and a passing cold front that limited solar heating and promoted cooler air advection. This aligns with seasonal autumn patterns in the Western Cape, where average April highs hover around 22–23°C but frontal systems often suppress peaks to 15–18°C, as seen in recent model guidance from SAWS extended forecasts. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from SAWS audits or evidence of station malfunction, though preliminary reports match independent records like 62°F (17°C) from nearby stations; final resolution awaits SAWS confirmation, typically within 24–48 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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