Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 18?
29°C 34%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
31°C 9%
NUOVO
$15,204 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,204 Vol.
18 apr 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
26%
29°C
34%
30°C
18%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 34%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
31°C 9%
NUOVO
$15,204 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,204 Vol.
18 apr 2026
23°C or below
$3,509 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,236 Vol.
1%
25°C
$420 Vol.
1%
26°C
$1,316 Vol.
2%
27°C
$1,416 Vol.
7%
28°C
$415 Vol.
26%
29°C
$332 Vol.
34%
30°C
$343 Vol.
18%
31°C
$883 Vol.
9%
32°C
$1,544 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$791 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,204Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,204Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration guidance forecasts a sunny high of 31°C for Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport on April 18, yet traders price 29°C as the leading outcome at 33.5% implied probability, with 28°C (24.5%) and 30°C (18.5%) in close contention, capturing uncertainty across global models like GFS and ECMWF that project clustered peaks of 28-30°C under variable cloud cover. This tight spread reflects recent transition from April 17's cloudy 27°C high amid lingering light rain, to sunnier conditions enhancing boundary layer heating and solar insolation in the Yangtze River basin. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity—persistent overcast capping peaks at 28°C, partial breaks pushing to 29-30°C, and full clearing enabling 31°C—against historical April averages near 25°C. New ensemble runs expected within hours could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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