Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 20?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 20?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$118,269 Vol.
$118,269 Vol.
20 apr 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$118,269 Vol.
$118,269 Vol.
20 apr 2026
12°C or below
$2,237 Vol.
No
13°C
$2,034 Vol.
No
14°C
$7,677 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,866 Vol.
No
16°C
$2,917 Vol.
No
17°C
$14,270 Vol.
No
18°C
$10,843 Vol.
No
19°C
$18,697 Vol.
No
20°C
$25,573 Vol.
Yes
21°C
$15,264 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$16,890 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$118,269Data di fine
20 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$118,269Data di fine
20 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 18, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 20°C in Chongqing on April 20, driven by official observations at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirming this peak amid persistent cloud cover and rainfall from the region's first major spring storm system. China Meteorological Administration data shows widespread showers and thunderstorms since April 19 suppressed daytime heating, with overcast skies limiting solar insolation and southerly flows bringing cooler, moist air under a high-altitude trough. Forecast models from NMC accurately anticipated subdued highs below seasonal norms of 22–25°C. While final daily reports could theoretically revise upward due to station microclimate variations, late-evening readings around 19°C render higher outcomes implausible, solidifying the positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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