National Weather Service Fort Worth's latest guidance as of April 15 forecasts a high near 81-83°F in Dallas on April 17, driving the tight trader consensus with 82-83°F (32% implied probability) edging 84-85°F (28%), reflecting model spread in peak diurnal heating under an upper-level ridge. Persistent southerly winds advect warm, humid Gulf air amid decreasing clouds post-evening showers, supporting above-normal temperatures following the record-warm March pattern, where historical April 17 averages hover around 76°F. Key differentiators include subtle variations in cloud clearance timing and wind shear across ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, potentially pushing maxima 1-2°F higher; final NWS updates today and official observations at DFW-area stations will clarify resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 17?
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 29%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 11%
$14,538 Vol.
$14,538 Vol.
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
84-85°F 29%
86-87°F 14%
80-81°F 11%
$14,538 Vol.
$14,538 Vol.
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
29%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service Fort Worth's latest guidance as of April 15 forecasts a high near 81-83°F in Dallas on April 17, driving the tight trader consensus with 82-83°F (32% implied probability) edging 84-85°F (28%), reflecting model spread in peak diurnal heating under an upper-level ridge. Persistent southerly winds advect warm, humid Gulf air amid decreasing clouds post-evening showers, supporting above-normal temperatures following the record-warm March pattern, where historical April 17 averages hover around 76°F. Key differentiators include subtle variations in cloud clearance timing and wind shear across ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, potentially pushing maxima 1-2°F higher; final NWS updates today and official observations at DFW-area stations will clarify resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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