Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Denver's April 18 high temperature, clustering around 54-59°F following a sharp cooldown from near-80°F readings earlier this week. A recent upper-level trough and associated cold front ushered in a colder air mass, dropping 850 mb temperatures and prompting a Freeze Watch overnight into Saturday morning, with post-frontal clearing expected under sunny skies and light winds. Differentiating the leading 54-55°F (23.5%) and 56-57°F (23%) outcomes are subtle ensemble model spreads—GFS and NAM guidance varies by 2-3°F on boundary layer mixing and potential lingering high clouds reducing insolation. New 00Z model runs tonight could sharpen this, against April normals near 61°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on April 18?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 18?
58-59°F 30%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 18%
56-57°F 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
47°F or below
2%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
8%
52-53°F
21%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
18%
58-59°F
18%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
3%
58-59°F 30%
52-53°F 21%
54-55°F 18%
56-57°F 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 apr 2026
47°F or below
$1,665 Vol.
2%
48-49°F
$342 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$132 Vol.
8%
52-53°F
$46 Vol.
21%
54-55°F
$64 Vol.
24%
56-57°F
$27 Vol.
18%
58-59°F
$50 Vol.
18%
60-61°F
$31 Vol.
12%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
6%
66°F or higher
$635 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Denver's April 18 high temperature, clustering around 54-59°F following a sharp cooldown from near-80°F readings earlier this week. A recent upper-level trough and associated cold front ushered in a colder air mass, dropping 850 mb temperatures and prompting a Freeze Watch overnight into Saturday morning, with post-frontal clearing expected under sunny skies and light winds. Differentiating the leading 54-55°F (23.5%) and 56-57°F (23%) outcomes are subtle ensemble model spreads—GFS and NAM guidance varies by 2-3°F on boundary layer mixing and potential lingering high clouds reducing insolation. New 00Z model runs tonight could sharpen this, against April normals near 61°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,989Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Denver's April 18 high temperature, clustering around 54-59°F following a sharp cooldown from near-80°F readings earlier this week. A recent upper-level trough and associated cold front ushered in a colder air mass, dropping 850 mb temperatures and prompting a Freeze Watch overnight into Saturday morning, with post-frontal clearing expected under sunny skies and light winds. Differentiating the leading 54-55°F (23.5%) and 56-57°F (23%) outcomes are subtle ensemble model spreads—GFS and NAM guidance varies by 2-3°F on boundary layer mixing and potential lingering high clouds reducing insolation. New 00Z model runs tonight could sharpen this, against April normals near 61°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,989Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Denver's April 18 high temperature, clustering around 54-59°F following a sharp cooldown from near-80°F readings earlier this week. A recent upper-level trough and associated cold front ushered in a colder air mass, dropping 850 mb temperatures and prompting a Freeze Watch overnight into Saturday morning, with post-frontal clearing expected under sunny skies and light winds. Differentiating the leading 54-55°F (23.5%) and 56-57°F (23%) outcomes are subtle ensemble model spreads—GFS and NAM guidance varies by 2-3°F on boundary layer mixing and potential lingering high clouds reducing insolation. New 00Z model runs tonight could sharpen this, against April normals near 61°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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