Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mid- to upper-80s highs for Denver on June 19, driving the 29% implied probability on 86-87°F as the leading outcome amid a broad distribution reflecting forecast spread. High pressure centered over the region has sustained elevated temperatures through midweek, with June 17 reaching near 96°F, but a gradual shift toward more typical early-summer flow and possible afternoon convection introduces cooling potential that caps odds on 90°F-plus bins below 15% combined. Normal high for the date is 84°F per NWS records, while climatological variability and resolution sensitivity to exact maximum readings under variable winds or cloud cover keep lower bins like 84-85°F at 18.5% as viable alternatives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Denver on June 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on June 19?
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$33,722 Vol.
$33,722 Vol.
19 giu 2026
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$33,722 Vol.
$33,722 Vol.
19 giu 2026
77°F or below
$699 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$2,123 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$4,337 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,056 Vol.
Yes
84-85°F
$3,467 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,257 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$2,607 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$2,242 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,987 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$1,022 Vol.
No
96°F or higher
$925 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mid- to upper-80s highs for Denver on June 19, driving the 29% implied probability on 86-87°F as the leading outcome amid a broad distribution reflecting forecast spread. High pressure centered over the region has sustained elevated temperatures through midweek, with June 17 reaching near 96°F, but a gradual shift toward more typical early-summer flow and possible afternoon convection introduces cooling potential that caps odds on 90°F-plus bins below 15% combined. Normal high for the date is 84°F per NWS records, while climatological variability and resolution sensitivity to exact maximum readings under variable winds or cloud cover keep lower bins like 84-85°F at 18.5% as viable alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$33,722Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mid- to upper-80s highs for Denver on June 19, driving the 29% implied probability on 86-87°F as the leading outcome amid a broad distribution reflecting forecast spread. High pressure centered over the region has sustained elevated temperatures through midweek, with June 17 reaching near 96°F, but a gradual shift toward more typical early-summer flow and possible afternoon convection introduces cooling potential that caps odds on 90°F-plus bins below 15% combined. Normal high for the date is 84°F per NWS records, while climatological variability and resolution sensitivity to exact maximum readings under variable winds or cloud cover keep lower bins like 84-85°F at 18.5% as viable alternatives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,722Data di fine
19 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 17, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate mid- to upper-80s highs for Denver on June 19, driving the 29% implied probability on 86-87°F as the leading outcome amid a broad distribution reflecting forecast spread. High pressure centered over the region has sustained elevated temperatures through midweek, with June 17 reaching near 96°F, but a gradual shift toward more typical early-summer flow and possible afternoon convection introduces cooling potential that caps odds on 90°F-plus bins below 15% combined. Normal high for the date is 84°F per NWS records, while climatological variability and resolution sensitivity to exact maximum readings under variable winds or cloud cover keep lower bins like 84-85°F at 18.5% as viable alternatives.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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