Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 6?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 6?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,428 Vol.
$62,428 Vol.
6 mag 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$62,428 Vol.
$62,428 Vol.
6 mag 2026
24°C or below
$4,344 Vol.
No
25°C
$14,442 Vol.
No
26°C
$11,449 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$4,552 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,307 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,705 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,614 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,104 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,117 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,350 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$444 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Volume
$62,428Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$62,428Data di fine
6 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects virtual certainty (100% implied probability) for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching exactly 26°C today, driven by official observations at the resolution source—Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport—already peaking at 26°C under persistent overcast skies and isolated showers. China Meteorological Administration guidance, alongside global models like ECMWF and GFS, shows consensus for daytime highs of 26–27°C, constrained by a trough fostering convective activity and sea breezes that limit solar heating in this humid subtropical climate, well below May climatological averages near 29°C. With the local day advancing toward evening, only an unlikely abrupt clearing could spur late-afternoon warming; final station data release imminent.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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