Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 24 giugno?
La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 24 giugno?
32°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Vol.
$193,684 Vol.
24 giu 2026
26°C o inferiore
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Sì
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C o superiore
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C o inferiore <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$193,684 Vol.
$193,684 Vol.
24 giu 2026
26°C o inferiore
$1,261 Vol.
No
27°C
$156 Vol.
No
28°C
$262 Vol.
No
29°C
$770 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,928 Vol.
No
31°C
$25,402 Vol.
No
32°C
$59,475 Vol.
Sì
33°C
$44,157 Vol.
No
34°C
$34,623 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,853 Vol.
No
36°C o superiore
$9,797 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$193,684Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$193,684Data di fine
24 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current short-range forecasts from models including those referenced by the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature of 33–34 °C on June 24, with scattered showers and persistent high humidity likely moderating peak values. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied odds for 33 °C and 34 °C, reflecting minor differences among ensemble runs on cloud cover, timing of precipitation, and steering flow from the southwest monsoon. Above-normal seasonal temperatures provide background support, yet the narrow spread between leading outcomes stems from typical late-June variability in convective activity and urban heat retention. Updated model guidance and official daily bulletins through June 23 will clarify whether daytime heating reaches the higher threshold.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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