Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 10, driving 100% trader consensus on this outcome as the definitive highest reading from its official station network, where temperatures are measured at 1.5 meters above ground using standardized mercury-in-glass thermometers. Mild weather patterns, including persistent cloud cover from a recent weak trough and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, kept daytime highs below seasonal norms of 28–30°C. This strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified observations released early May 11. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare HKO revisions due to quality control checks on secondary stations or metadata errors, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5% of daily records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 10 maggio?
26°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$328,559 Vol.
$328,559 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$328,559 Vol.
$328,559 Vol.
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sì
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms a maximum temperature of 26°C on May 10, driving 100% trader consensus on this outcome as the definitive highest reading from its official station network, where temperatures are measured at 1.5 meters above ground using standardized mercury-in-glass thermometers. Mild weather patterns, including persistent cloud cover from a recent weak trough and light southerly winds limiting solar heating, kept daytime highs below seasonal norms of 28–30°C. This strong positioning reflects skin-in-the-game alignment with verified observations released early May 11. Realistic challenges are minimal but could arise from rare HKO revisions due to quality control checks on secondary stations or metadata errors, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 0.5% of daily records.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti