Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 15 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 15 luglio?
25°C 100.0%
20°C o meno <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 Vol.
$44,673 Vol.
15 lug 2026
20°C o meno
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sì
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o superiore
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C o meno <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$44,673 Vol.
$44,673 Vol.
15 lug 2026
20°C o meno
$2,452 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,487 Vol.
No
22°C
$3,375 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,286 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,476 Vol.
No
25°C
$9,240 Vol.
Sì
26°C
$6,639 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,839 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,288 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,080 Vol.
No
30°C o superiore
$1,509 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Volume
$44,673Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,673Data di fine
15 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 13, 2026, 10:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Traders see the 25–26°C outcomes as nearly even because Mexico City’s high-elevation plateau (≈2,240 m) and mid-July rainy-season convection create narrow margins between these thresholds. Afternoon thunderstorms, driven by diurnal heating and moisture influx from the Pacific and Gulf, frequently develop by early afternoon and limit peak temperatures through cloud shading and evaporative cooling. Recent model guidance shows modest daytime instability with variable timing of convective initiation, allowing slight differences in insolation or storm onset to shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical July records cluster in the low-to-mid 20s, with occasional clearer periods permitting brief spikes near 26°C when storms are delayed.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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