Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 7 luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 7 luglio?
24°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,420 Vol.
$40,420 Vol.
7 lug 2026
18°C o inferiore
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Sì
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o superiore
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$40,420 Vol.
$40,420 Vol.
7 lug 2026
18°C o inferiore
$2,086 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,424 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,219 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,443 Vol.
No
22°C
$5,617 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,831 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,140 Vol.
Sì
25°C
$2,316 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,560 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,495 Vol.
No
28°C o superiore
$2,289 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$40,420Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,420Data di fine
7 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on 24–25°C for Mexico City’s July 7 maximum reflects the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak North American monsoon conditions, which favor afternoon convective showers and thunderstorms that cap daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Official guidance and ensemble models cluster around 22–24°C, consistent with climatological July averages near 23–24°C and recent runs showing light northeasterly flow with scattered precipitation. Differentiation between the closely matched 24°C and 25°C outcomes hinges on precise timing of convective initiation and any morning sunshine windows before storms develop; minor forecast shifts in the next 24 hours from Mexico’s SMN or updated global models could tip probabilities. Resolution will depend on the official highest temperature recorded at the primary observing site.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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