Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 25?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 25?
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$311,729 Vol.
$311,729 Vol.
25 mag 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
Yes
22°C or higher 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$311,729 Vol.
$311,729 Vol.
25 mag 2026
12°C or below
$623 Vol.
No
13°C
$548 Vol.
No
14°C
$540 Vol.
No
15°C
$546 Vol.
No
16°C
$547 Vol.
No
17°C
$492 Vol.
No
18°C
$301,012 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,586 Vol.
No
20°C
$1,947 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,547 Vol.
No
22°C or higher
$2,340 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$311,729Data di fine
25 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$311,729Data di fine
25 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Mexico City's late-May climatology, driven by persistent high-pressure systems, moderate solar insolation at 2,240 meters elevation, and the dry season's limited cloud cover, produces typical daily maxima of 25–27°C according to NOAA and regional model consensus. These conditions place the May 25 high comfortably above the 22°C threshold with minimal day-to-day variability, supporting the market's near-certain implied probability. Only an atypical influx of moisture or a transient cold front could suppress temperatures enough to approach lower outcomes, though such disruptions remain rare this time of year and are not indicated in current guidance.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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