Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on July 2?
Highest temperature in Milan on July 2?
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$73,022 Vol.
$73,022 Vol.
2 lug 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$73,022 Vol.
$73,022 Vol.
2 lug 2026
29°C or below
$3,975 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,414 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,105 Vol.
No
32°C
$12,780 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$9,826 Vol.
No
34°C
$9,111 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,468 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,053 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,852 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,667 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$3,771 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$73,022Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,022Data di fine
2 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current ensemble guidance from major models shows Milan highs clustering in the low-to-mid 30s°C on July 2 under a broad subtropical ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and light northerly flow. This setup favors strong daytime heating over the Po Valley, where limited soil moisture and weak winds enhance sensible heat flux. Minor differences among 32–33°C outcomes stem from subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, any residual moisture from recent upstream convection, and exact timing of peak insolation versus possible thin high cloud. Historical July maxima average near 29–31°C, so the current pattern represents modest positive anomalies without extreme heat advection. Updated high-resolution runs and official agency guidance will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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