Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Mosca il 1° luglio?
La temperatura più alta a Mosca il 1° luglio?
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$108,744 Vol.
$108,744 Vol.
1 lug 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o superiore
No
29°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$108,744 Vol.
$108,744 Vol.
1 lug 2026
22°C or below
$2,077 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,263 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,331 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,768 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,568 Vol.
No
27°C
$14,636 Vol.
No
28°C
$25,009 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,950 Vol.
Yes
30°C
$15,398 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,178 Vol.
No
32°C o superiore
$8,566 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$108,744Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$108,744Data di fine
1 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 29, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and specialized July outlooks indicate a likely daily high near 27°C for Moscow on July 1, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 33.5% probability on that outcome and supporting secondary shares for 26–28°C. This reflects typical early-July climatology of 23–25°C averages, modulated by current large-scale pressure patterns, advection of warmer air masses, and limited cloud cover or precipitation expected in the short term. High uncertainty arises from potential model divergences on exact timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts, which could alter maximum readings by 1–3°C within the final 48 hours. Traders monitor official updates from Russian meteorological services and ensemble runs for refinements ahead of resolution based on verified station observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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