Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show a daytime maximum near 21°C at Munich's official station, supported by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limits solar heating and convective development. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover around 20–23°C amid typical Atlantic-influenced weather patterns. Trader consensus at 100% for 21°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time observational data confirming limited warming potential. A sudden shift to clearer skies, stronger southerly advection, or reduced cloud cover could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold before sunset, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on June 14?
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$86,310 Vol.
$86,310 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service show a daytime maximum near 21°C at Munich's official station, supported by moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover, and stable high pressure that limits solar heating and convective development. These conditions align with climatological norms for mid-June, where average highs hover around 20–23°C amid typical Atlantic-influenced weather patterns. Trader consensus at 100% for 21°C reflects this tight model agreement and real-time observational data confirming limited warming potential. A sudden shift to clearer skies, stronger southerly advection, or reduced cloud cover could allow temperatures to exceed this threshold before sunset, though current guidance indicates low probability of such changes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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