Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on April 18?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 18?
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$439,098 Vol.
$439,098 Vol.
18 apr 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
Yes
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
60-61°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$439,098 Vol.
$439,098 Vol.
18 apr 2026
53°F or below
$12,480 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$36,626 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$67,655 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$69,751 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$87,629 Vol.
Yes
62-63°F
$43,117 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$43,390 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$24,041 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$20,666 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$16,390 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$17,354 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$439,098Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$439,098Data di fine
18 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park KNYC station confirm a maximum temperature of 61°F on April 18, 2026, recorded at 2:51 PM and 5:51 PM via Automated Surface Observing System data, driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for the 60-61°F outcome as traders anchor to verified measurements. This followed a mid-April heat wave peaking at 90°F on the 15th, when a passing frontal boundary introduced cooler maritime air, persistent cloud cover, mist, and fog that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. Historical April averages hover around 60°F, aligning with this moderation. Resolution awaits final NWS daily climate summary, though challenges like rare sensor recalibrations or data discrepancies are improbable given consistent hourly logs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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