The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 18 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di San Francisco il 18 luglio?
21-22°C 100.0%
55°F o inferiore <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$52,115 Vol.
$52,115 Vol.
18 lug 2026
55°F o inferiore
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
21-22°C
Sì
72-73°F
No
74°F o superiore
No
21-22°C 100.0%
55°F o inferiore <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$52,115 Vol.
$52,115 Vol.
18 lug 2026
55°F o inferiore
$5,334 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$2,586 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,855 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,477 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$7,418 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,482 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,252 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$4,587 Vol.
No
21-22°C
$5,416 Vol.
Sì
72-73°F
$5,260 Vol.
No
74°F o superiore
$8,448 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$52,115Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,115Data di fine
18 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 16, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The narrow gap between the 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (33.0%) brackets reflects ensemble model runs from the National Weather Service placing the official KSFO high near 65°F on July 18, with modest uncertainty in marine-layer depth and afternoon clearing timing. Persistent onshore flow from the cool California Current sustains a shallow marine inversion that caps daytime heating, while any temporary weakening of the layer or brief offshore wind component could allow modest warming into the upper 60s. Historical July climatology at the airport shows average highs near 66°F, and recent NWS guidance through mid-July has favored similar mild conditions absent a strong thermal trough or wind shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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