Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 22 giugno?
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F o inferiore <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
61°F o inferiore
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Sì
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F o superiore
No
66-67°F 100.0%
61°F o inferiore <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
61°F o inferiore
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Sì
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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