Marine layer depth and persistent onshore westerly flow from the Pacific remain the dominant controls on San Francisco’s daily maximum temperature, typically capping readings near 65–68 °F in mid-June. Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high around 68 °F for June 23 under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, consistent with climatological norms yet leaving room for modest warming if the marine inversion weakens or winds turn more northerly. Trader positioning favoring the 70–71 °F bin reflects this narrow upside potential, while the broad spread across 66–73 °F underscores model sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed over the next 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 23?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$50,976 Vol.
$50,976 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$50,976 Vol.
$50,976 Vol.
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 21, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Marine layer depth and persistent onshore westerly flow from the Pacific remain the dominant controls on San Francisco’s daily maximum temperature, typically capping readings near 65–68 °F in mid-June. Latest National Weather Service guidance points to a high around 68 °F for June 23 under mostly sunny skies after morning clouds, consistent with climatological norms yet leaving room for modest warming if the marine inversion weakens or winds turn more northerly. Trader positioning favoring the 70–71 °F bin reflects this narrow upside potential, while the broad spread across 66–73 °F underscores model sensitivity to small changes in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed over the next 24 hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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