Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 30 giugno?
72-73°F 100.0%
57°F o inferiore <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$273,989 Vol.
$273,989 Vol.
57°F o inferiore
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Sì
74-75°F
No
76°F o superiore
No
72-73°F 100.0%
57°F o inferiore <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$273,989 Vol.
$273,989 Vol.
57°F o inferiore
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Sì
74-75°F
No
76°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for San Francisco on June 30 points to a high near 66–69°F, aligning with the market’s tight clustering on those bins. Persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer off the Pacific are expected to limit daytime warming, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 67°F at downtown and airport stations. Recent model runs show no strong offshore wind shift or upper-level ridge that would allow temperatures to reach the low 70s, while fog clearance timing and boundary-layer mixing remain the key variables that could nudge readings slightly higher or keep them capped near 66°F.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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