Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 5?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,181 Vol.
$17,181 Vol.
5 giu 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$17,181 Vol.
$17,181 Vol.
5 giu 2026
47°F or below
$334 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$283 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$297 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$750 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$492 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$526 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$3,897 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$361 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,028 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,774 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$6,438 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$17,181Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,181Data di fine
5 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a daily maximum of 71°F on June 5 under sunny skies and persistent high pressure that suppressed the typical marine-layer cooling. This outcome aligns with early-June climatology, where highs commonly reach the upper 60s to low 70s, and short-range forecast models showed strong consensus around 71°F with minimal spread. The near-100% market-implied probability for 66°F or higher therefore reflects verified post-event data rather than projection. An unexpected strengthening of onshore winds or thicker afternoon stratus could have lowered the peak, but those conditions did not develop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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