Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 24?
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
24 mag 2026
45°F or below
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64°F or higher
Yes
64°F or higher 100.0%
45°F or below <1%
46-47°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
$24,737 Vol.
$24,737 Vol.
24 mag 2026
45°F or below
$280 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$283 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$3,655 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$590 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$828 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,838 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$1,521 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$2,545 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,482 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,827 Vol.
No
64°F or higher
$5,888 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
Volume
$24,737Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$24,737Data di fine
24 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 22, 2026, 12:43 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current meteorological forecasts and seasonal climatology strongly support trader consensus that San Francisco's high on May 24 will reach or exceed 64°F. Late-May averages hover near 67°F, with National Weather Service guidance projecting daytime peaks of 60–68°F under typical marine layer conditions and moderate onshore flow. Model consensus shows limited cooling potential, as no significant cold advection or persistent fog is anticipated. While extreme anomalies such as an unusually strong marine intrusion or rapid pressure shift could theoretically suppress readings below the threshold, historical data and real-time observations indicate such outcomes remain highly improbable on this date. Official station measurements will resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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