The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 12 giugno?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 12 giugno?
21°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,748 Vol.
$61,748 Vol.
12 giu 2026
16°C o inferiore
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sì
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o superiore
No
21°C 100.0%
16°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,748 Vol.
$61,748 Vol.
12 giu 2026
16°C o inferiore
$1,333 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,892 Vol.
No
18°C
$3,892 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,223 Vol.
No
20°C
$28,133 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,313 Vol.
Sì
22°C
$3,586 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,645 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,005 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,211 Vol.
No
26°C o superiore
$513 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$61,748Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,748Data di fine
12 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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