Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 2 maggio?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 2 maggio?
29°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 Vol.
$60,592 Vol.
2 mag 2026
23°C o inferiore
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sì
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o superiore
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$60,592 Vol.
$60,592 Vol.
2 mag 2026
23°C o inferiore
$2,605 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,769 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,864 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,507 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,859 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,079 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,633 Vol.
Sì
30°C
$15,290 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,675 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,873 Vol.
No
33°C o superiore
$4,438 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$60,592Data di fine
2 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,592Data di fine
2 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 29°C as the highest temperature at São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport on May 2, 2026, with near-100% implied probability, driven by official midday observations peaking at 29°C amid partial cloud cover and low relative humidity dipping to 30%, aligning with INMET and CPTEC ensemble forecasts predicting a maximum in that range under a dominant mass of dry air suppressing clouds and precipitation. This outcome reflects real-time METAR reports from the airport station, the market's resolution source via Weather Underground historical data, confirming no higher readings through evening. While data finalization is typically firm, a rare post-audit revision by INMET—such as sensor recalibration—could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments under 0.5°C and infrequent after 24 hours. Watch for INMET's daily bulletin today for confirmation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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