Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 25?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 Vol.
$73,387 Vol.
25 apr 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$73,387 Vol.
$73,387 Vol.
25 apr 2026
15°C or below
$577 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,839 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,110 Vol.
No
18°C
$1,341 Vol.
No
19°C
$4,065 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,751 Vol.
No
21°C
$24,179 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$5,958 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,735 Vol.
No
24°C
$7,198 Vol.
No
25°C or higher
$10,636 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ET
Volume
$73,387Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$73,387Data di fine
25 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 23, 2026, 12:47 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on 21°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data showing peak readings of 21°C at Songshan station amid persistent cloud cover and occasional showers from a lingering weather front. This cooler-than-average April day—historical highs typically 24–26°C—reflects suppressed solar insolation due to high humidity (80–90%) and northeasterly winds capping daytime heating at the forecasted 19–23°C range. Model consensus from CWA updates reinforces this, with no indications of convective clearing. A late-afternoon break in clouds enabling brief solar warming could challenge this to 22°C, but current trajectories and moisture-laden air make it improbable as resolution nears end-of-day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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