Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 Vol.
$96,210 Vol.
30 apr 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 Vol.
$96,210 Vol.
30 apr 2026
14°C or below
$2,167 Vol.
No
15°C
$1,375 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,256 Vol.
No
17°C
$4,233 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,200 Vol.
No
19°C
$17,347 Vol.
No
20°C
$19,906 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,618 Vol.
Yes
22°C
$10,845 Vol.
No
23°C
$8,672 Vol.
No
24°C or higher
$12,589 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$96,210Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$96,210Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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