Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Taipei on May 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 11?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,846 Vol.
$61,846 Vol.
11 mag 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,846 Vol.
$61,846 Vol.
11 mag 2026
22°C or below
$2,630 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,321 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,830 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,625 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,826 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,473 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,337 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$6,373 Vol.
No
30°C
$7,001 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,247 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$12,183 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 9, 2026, 2:14 AM ET
Volume
$61,846Data di fine
11 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 2:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$61,846Data di fine
11 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 9, 2026, 2:14 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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