Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles currently favor a daytime high near 30–32°C for Toronto on July 13, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, expected mainly in the afternoon, introduce key uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially capping the peak temperature. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show modest warming trends offset by variable cloud cover, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing while lower or higher extremes reflect tail risks from timing shifts or stronger convection. Official guidance updates and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 13 luglio?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 13 luglio?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$46,851 Vol.
$46,851 Vol.
13 lug 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$46,851 Vol.
$46,851 Vol.
13 lug 2026
28°C or below
$6,406 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,707 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,551 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,411 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,297 Vol.
No
33°C
$6,493 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$9,488 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,169 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,484 Vol.
No
37°C
$471 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$375 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles currently favor a daytime high near 30–32°C for Toronto on July 13, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, expected mainly in the afternoon, introduce key uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially capping the peak temperature. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show modest warming trends offset by variable cloud cover, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing while lower or higher extremes reflect tail risks from timing shifts or stronger convection. Official guidance updates and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$46,851Data di fine
13 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles currently favor a daytime high near 30–32°C for Toronto on July 13, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, expected mainly in the afternoon, introduce key uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially capping the peak temperature. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show modest warming trends offset by variable cloud cover, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing while lower or higher extremes reflect tail risks from timing shifts or stronger convection. Official guidance updates and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,851Data di fine
13 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 11, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles currently favor a daytime high near 30–32°C for Toronto on July 13, driven by southerly flow advecting warm, humid air ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers or thunderstorms, expected mainly in the afternoon, introduce key uncertainty by limiting insolation and potentially capping the peak temperature. Ensemble spreads and recent model runs show modest warming trends offset by variable cloud cover, keeping the 31–33°C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing while lower or higher extremes reflect tail risks from timing shifts or stronger convection. Official guidance updates and next model cycles will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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