Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Vol.
$118,075 Vol.
29 apr 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 Vol.
$118,075 Vol.
29 apr 2026
11°C or below
$6,269 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,452 Vol.
No
13°C
$6,261 Vol.
No
14°C
$2,295 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,421 Vol.
No
16°C
$16,021 Vol.
No
17°C
$6,832 Vol.
No
18°C
$23,951 Vol.
No
19°C
$24,886 Vol.
Yes
20°C
$18,023 Vol.
No
21°C or higher
$9,665 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$118,075Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$118,075Data di fine
29 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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