Trader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest, with the 1.50%-2.24% bin at 32% implied probability edging the 3.75%-4.49% range at 30%, underscoring uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.40% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months—up from 3.21% in February and 2.75% in January under the new 2024 base year, driven by fuel cost pressures amid West Asia tensions despite moderating food prices. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%, peaking Q3 at 5.2%), citing El Niño risks and geopolitical oil shocks, contrasting earlier sub-3% readings. Key swing factors include April CPI data due May 12 and global energy dynamics, as traders balance resilient domestic demand against upside vulnerabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato1,50% a 2,24% 45%
<0,75% 34%
2,25% a 2,99% 20%
4,50%+ 14%
$57,500 Vol.
$57,500 Vol.
12 gen 2027
<0,75%
25%
0,75% a 1,49%
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
32%
2,25% a 2,99%
24%
3,00% - 3,74%
12%
3,75% a 4,49%
32%
4,50%+
18%
1,50% a 2,24% 45%
<0,75% 34%
2,25% a 2,99% 20%
4,50%+ 14%
$57,500 Vol.
$57,500 Vol.
12 gen 2027
<0,75%
$657 Vol.
25%
0,75% a 1,49%
$281 Vol.
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
$360 Vol.
32%
2,25% a 2,99%
$22,345 Vol.
24%
3,00% - 3,74%
$421 Vol.
12%
3,75% a 4,49%
$22,740 Vol.
32%
4,50%+
$10,695 Vol.
18%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest, with the 1.50%-2.24% bin at 32% implied probability edging the 3.75%-4.49% range at 30%, underscoring uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.40% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months—up from 3.21% in February and 2.75% in January under the new 2024 base year, driven by fuel cost pressures amid West Asia tensions despite moderating food prices. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%, peaking Q3 at 5.2%), citing El Niño risks and geopolitical oil shocks, contrasting earlier sub-3% readings. Key swing factors include April CPI data due May 12 and global energy dynamics, as traders balance resilient domestic demand against upside vulnerabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$57,500Data di fine
12 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfTrader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest, with the 1.50%-2.24% bin at 32% implied probability edging the 3.75%-4.49% range at 30%, underscoring uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.40% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months—up from 3.21% in February and 2.75% in January under the new 2024 base year, driven by fuel cost pressures amid West Asia tensions despite moderating food prices. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%, peaking Q3 at 5.2%), citing El Niño risks and geopolitical oil shocks, contrasting earlier sub-3% readings. Key swing factors include April CPI data due May 12 and global energy dynamics, as traders balance resilient domestic demand against upside vulnerabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volume
$57,500Data di fine
12 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on India Annual Inflation 2026 reflects a tight contest, with the 1.50%-2.24% bin at 32% implied probability edging the 3.75%-4.49% range at 30%, underscoring uncertainty in the inflation trajectory. March 2026 CPI inflation rose to 3.40% year-over-year—the highest in 11 months—up from 3.21% in February and 2.75% in January under the new 2024 base year, driven by fuel cost pressures amid West Asia tensions despite moderating food prices. The Reserve Bank of India's April MPC projected FY27 CPI at 4.6% (Q1:4.0%, peaking Q3 at 5.2%), citing El Niño risks and geopolitical oil shocks, contrasting earlier sub-3% readings. Key swing factors include April CPI data due May 12 and global energy dynamics, as traders balance resilient domestic demand against upside vulnerabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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