Recent geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including elevated Brent crude near $97 per barrel, have pushed imported energy and food costs higher, supporting the 54.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual CPI inflation at 4.50% or above. The RBI’s June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee raised its FY27 forecast to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-chain disruptions, a potentially deficient monsoon, and rupee depreciation, while holding the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance. May 2026 CPI printed at 3.93%, up from 3.48% in April, with food inflation at 4.8%, aligning trader consensus around the upper end of the RBI’s 2–6% target band amid ongoing external risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato4,50%+ 65%
1,50% a 2,24% 40.9%
3,75% a 4,49% 14.8%
3,00% - 3,74% 11.8%
$61,716 Vol.
$61,716 Vol.
12 gen 2027
<0,75%
5%
0,75% a 1,49%
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
41%
2,25% a 2,99%
2%
3,00% - 3,74%
20%
3,75% a 4,49%
15%
4,50%+
65%
4,50%+ 65%
1,50% a 2,24% 40.9%
3,75% a 4,49% 14.8%
3,00% - 3,74% 11.8%
$61,716 Vol.
$61,716 Vol.
12 gen 2027
<0,75%
$838 Vol.
5%
0,75% a 1,49%
$558 Vol.
1%
1,50% a 2,24%
$447 Vol.
41%
2,25% a 2,99%
$24,140 Vol.
2%
3,00% - 3,74%
$768 Vol.
20%
3,75% a 4,49%
$23,426 Vol.
15%
4,50%+
$11,538 Vol.
65%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including elevated Brent crude near $97 per barrel, have pushed imported energy and food costs higher, supporting the 54.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual CPI inflation at 4.50% or above. The RBI’s June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee raised its FY27 forecast to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-chain disruptions, a potentially deficient monsoon, and rupee depreciation, while holding the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance. May 2026 CPI printed at 3.93%, up from 3.48% in April, with food inflation at 4.8%, aligning trader consensus around the upper end of the RBI’s 2–6% target band amid ongoing external risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Mercato aperto: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$61,716Data di fine
12 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including elevated Brent crude near $97 per barrel, have pushed imported energy and food costs higher, supporting the 54.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual CPI inflation at 4.50% or above. The RBI’s June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee raised its FY27 forecast to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-chain disruptions, a potentially deficient monsoon, and rupee depreciation, while holding the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance. May 2026 CPI printed at 3.93%, up from 3.48% in April, with food inflation at 4.8%, aligning trader consensus around the upper end of the RBI’s 2–6% target band amid ongoing external risks.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Volume
$61,716Data di fine
12 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in West Asia, including elevated Brent crude near $97 per barrel, have pushed imported energy and food costs higher, supporting the 54.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual CPI inflation at 4.50% or above. The RBI’s June 2026 Monetary Policy Committee raised its FY27 forecast to 5.1% from 4.6%, citing supply-chain disruptions, a potentially deficient monsoon, and rupee depreciation, while holding the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance. May 2026 CPI printed at 3.93%, up from 3.48% in April, with food inflation at 4.8%, aligning trader consensus around the upper end of the RBI’s 2–6% target band amid ongoing external risks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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