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icon for Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

icon for Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?

dic 31

dic 31

7% probabilità
Polymarket

$249,779 Vol.

7% probabilità
Polymarket

$249,779 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi continues to lead India as prime minister with no credible indications of an early exit before the end of 2026.** His current term, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends through 2029, and recent developments reinforce stability in that timeline. As of late August 2026, Modi conducted high-level state visits to Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, receiving diplomatic honors and advancing bilateral ties on trade, defense, and energy—activities consistent with an active head of government. A July 2026 viral fake resignation letter was swiftly debunked by the Press Information Bureau, with no supporting official statements or credible reports. August polling from India Today-CVoter showed Modi remaining the leading preference for the top post despite modest dips in some demographics, while BJP planning for commemorations of his public service record signals party continuity rather than transition. Opposition commentary on a “final phase” reflects partisan positioning without altering institutional realities or triggering any parliamentary, legal, or electoral mechanisms for removal. With the next general election cycle years away and no evident health, coalition, or procedural developments pointing to departure in the remaining months of 2026, trader pricing aligns with the structural and political barriers to an imminent change in leadership.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,779
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Narendra Modi continues to lead India as prime minister with no credible indications of an early exit before the end of 2026.** His current term, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends through 2029, and recent developments reinforce stability in that timeline. As of late August 2026, Modi conducted high-level state visits to Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan, receiving diplomatic honors and advancing bilateral ties on trade, defense, and energy—activities consistent with an active head of government. A July 2026 viral fake resignation letter was swiftly debunked by the Press Information Bureau, with no supporting official statements or credible reports. August polling from India Today-CVoter showed Modi remaining the leading preference for the top post despite modest dips in some demographics, while BJP planning for commemorations of his public service record signals party continuity rather than transition. Opposition commentary on a “final phase” reflects partisan positioning without altering institutional realities or triggering any parliamentary, legal, or electoral mechanisms for removal. With the next general election cycle years away and no evident health, coalition, or procedural developments pointing to departure in the remaining months of 2026, trader pricing aligns with the structural and political barriers to an imminent change in leadership.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$249,779
Data di fine
31 dic 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET

Risolutore

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Modi fuori entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a 7%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 7¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 7% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" ha generato $249.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 13, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

Questo è un mercato molto aperto. L'attuale leader per "Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" è "Modi fuori entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" a solo 7%. Con nessun esito che detiene una forte maggioranza, i trader vedono questo come altamente incerto, il che può presentare opportunità di trading uniche. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale, quindi aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per vedere come si evolvono le probabilità.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.