Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with traders assigning only a low probability of an early exit. Recent state assembly election victories in May 2026, including the BJP's first-ever win in West Bengal and strong results elsewhere, have consolidated the ruling party's influence and reinforced Modi's standing midway through his third term. These outcomes followed the 2024 national election, where the BJP relied on coalition partners, and signal preparation for the next Lok Sabha vote due by 2029. No official announcements, health developments, or internal party challenges point to a leadership transition before the resolution date. While unforeseen events such as sudden illness or major scandals could still shift dynamics, current political momentum supports the strong market consensus that Modi will continue leading the government into 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoModi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
$102,659 Vol.
$102,659 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$102,659 Vol.
$102,659 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with traders assigning only a low probability of an early exit. Recent state assembly election victories in May 2026, including the BJP's first-ever win in West Bengal and strong results elsewhere, have consolidated the ruling party's influence and reinforced Modi's standing midway through his third term. These outcomes followed the 2024 national election, where the BJP relied on coalition partners, and signal preparation for the next Lok Sabha vote due by 2029. No official announcements, health developments, or internal party challenges point to a leadership transition before the resolution date. While unforeseen events such as sudden illness or major scandals could still shift dynamics, current political momentum supports the strong market consensus that Modi will continue leading the government into 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$102,659Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with traders assigning only a low probability of an early exit. Recent state assembly election victories in May 2026, including the BJP's first-ever win in West Bengal and strong results elsewhere, have consolidated the ruling party's influence and reinforced Modi's standing midway through his third term. These outcomes followed the 2024 national election, where the BJP relied on coalition partners, and signal preparation for the next Lok Sabha vote due by 2029. No official announcements, health developments, or internal party challenges point to a leadership transition before the resolution date. While unforeseen events such as sudden illness or major scandals could still shift dynamics, current political momentum supports the strong market consensus that Modi will continue leading the government into 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$102,659Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi's position as India's prime minister remains secure through the end of 2026, with traders assigning only a low probability of an early exit. Recent state assembly election victories in May 2026, including the BJP's first-ever win in West Bengal and strong results elsewhere, have consolidated the ruling party's influence and reinforced Modi's standing midway through his third term. These outcomes followed the 2024 national election, where the BJP relied on coalition partners, and signal preparation for the next Lok Sabha vote due by 2029. No official announcements, health developments, or internal party challenges point to a leadership transition before the resolution date. While unforeseen events such as sudden illness or major scandals could still shift dynamics, current political momentum supports the strong market consensus that Modi will continue leading the government into 2027.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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