National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 23 aprile?
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F o inferiore <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 Vol.
$73,489 Vol.
39°F o inferiore
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
Sì
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F o superiore
No
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F o inferiore <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 Vol.
$73,489 Vol.
39°F o inferiore
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
Sì
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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