Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 24 aprile?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 24 aprile?
48-49°F 100.0%
41°F o inferiore <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 Vol.
$49,008 Vol.
24 apr 2026
41°F o inferiore
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Sì
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F o superiore
No
48-49°F 100.0%
41°F o inferiore <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 Vol.
$49,008 Vol.
24 apr 2026
41°F o inferiore
$3,059 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$7,677 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$5,400 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$10,077 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$7,315 Vol.
Sì
50-51°F
$2,370 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$2,167 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,587 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$3,063 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,140 Vol.
No
60°F o superiore
$5,153 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$49,008Data di fine
24 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,008Data di fine
24 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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