Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 15 giugno?
14°C 100.0%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 Vol.
$22,237 Vol.
10°C o inferiore
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o superiore
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 Vol.
$22,237 Vol.
10°C o inferiore
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Sì
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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