Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 9 maggio?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul il 9 maggio?
10°C 100.0%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$39,623 Vol.
$39,623 Vol.
9 mag 2026
8°C o inferiore
No
9°C
No
10°C
Sì
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o superiore
No
10°C 100.0%
8°C o inferiore <1%
9°C <1%
11°C <1%
$39,623 Vol.
$39,623 Vol.
9 mag 2026
8°C o inferiore
$8,860 Vol.
No
9°C
$4,914 Vol.
No
10°C
$6,836 Vol.
Sì
11°C
$3,107 Vol.
No
12°C
$6,111 Vol.
No
13°C
$1,120 Vol.
No
14°C
$1,291 Vol.
No
15°C
$2,336 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,521 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,553 Vol.
No
18°C o superiore
$1,975 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$39,623Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,623Data di fine
9 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations at Incheon International Airport station—the official resolution source—confirm Seoul's lowest temperature on May 9 reached exactly 10°C during pre-dawn hours around 3-6 AM under clear skies promoting radiative cooling, but moderated by urban heat island effects and light winds. KMA short-range forecasts accurately projected regional morning lows of 10-11°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge, aligning with early May climatology where Seoul minima average 12-15°C but recent continental air flows have trended cooler. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this locked-in data, with daytime highs nearing 20°C eliminating further drops. Realistic challenges would require a post hoc data revision or overlooked microsite measurement below 10°C, though highly improbable given current monitoring. Final KMA daily summary expected later today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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