Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 29 luglio?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 29 luglio?
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
29°C 20%
26°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 lug 2026
23°C o inferiore
4%
24°C
10%
25°C
7%
26°C
17%
27°C
29%
28°C
31%
29°C
20%
30°C
5%
31°C
5%
32°C
9%
33°C o superiore
11%
28°C 31%
27°C 29%
29°C 20%
26°C 17%
NUOVO
NUOVO
29 lug 2026
23°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
4%
24°C
$31 Vol.
10%
25°C
$18 Vol.
7%
26°C
$265 Vol.
17%
27°C
$59 Vol.
29%
28°C
$30 Vol.
31%
29°C
$89 Vol.
20%
30°C
$23 Vol.
5%
31°C
$28 Vol.
5%
32°C
$10 Vol.
9%
33°C o superiore
$98 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$662Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$662Data di fine
29 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai's July 29 minimum will likely fall between 27–29°C amid a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with limited overnight radiative cooling. High dew points near 25°C and typical post-plum-rain humidity suppress temperature drops, while any variable cloud cover or light winds could shift the outcome by 1–2°C. Trader positioning around 28°C reflects this consensus alongside historical July lows averaging near 27°C, though short-range model updates through July 28 remain the key variable that could alter probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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