Current forecasts from regional meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Shanghai on June 8, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. Early June conditions in this subtropical monsoon climate typically feature nighttime lows near 20–22°C, supported by stable atmospheric patterns without significant cold-air advection. Official observations through the day have tracked closely with these expectations, though final resolution depends on the complete 24-hour record from authoritative sources. Unseasonal shifts such as heavier rainfall or altered wind patterns could introduce minor cooling and alter the recorded low, but historical data indicate such deviations remain unlikely this late in the season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai l'8 giugno?
20°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$26,856 Vol.
$26,856 Vol.
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C o inferiore <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$26,856 Vol.
$26,856 Vol.
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Sì
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 6, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Current forecasts from regional meteorological agencies project a minimum temperature of 20°C for Shanghai on June 8, aligning with the market's near-certain implied probability. Early June conditions in this subtropical monsoon climate typically feature nighttime lows near 20–22°C, supported by stable atmospheric patterns without significant cold-air advection. Official observations through the day have tracked closely with these expectations, though final resolution depends on the complete 24-hour record from authoritative sources. Unseasonal shifts such as heavier rainfall or altered wind patterns could introduce minor cooling and alter the recorded low, but historical data indicate such deviations remain unlikely this late in the season.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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