The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50% for multiple clubs reflects the highly competitive nature of the 2026 ABS challenge system, where overall success rates hover near 53-54% league-wide with catchers posting notably higher overturn percentages (around 56-60%) than hitters. Recent Statcast and ESPN trackers show modest gaps among teams, driven by roster-specific factors such as catcher framing accuracy, selective challenge usage by pitchers and batters, and coaching adjustments to the two-challenge limit per game. Midseason volatility from limited per-team sample sizes, varying schedule strength, and player availability keeps the leaderboard fluid, preventing any single club from establishing a decisive edge in the eyes of traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCincinnati Reds 41.3%
Milwaukee Brewers 37.0%
Arizona Diamondbacks 26.6%
Detroit Tigers 20.2%
$1,281,514 Vol.
$1,281,514 Vol.
Cincinnati Reds
41%
Milwaukee Brewers
37%
Arizona Diamondbacks
27%
Detroit Tigers
20%
Cleveland Guardians
19%
Houston Astros
18%
Baltimore Orioles
17%
Seattle Mariners
8%
Pittsburgh Pirates
8%
Los Angeles Dodgers
7%
Miami Marlins
4%
Atlanta Braves
4%
Athletics
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Los Angeles Angels
3%
Tampa Bay Rays
3%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
2%
Boston Red Sox
2%
Philadelphia Phillies
2%
New York Yankees
2%
Colorado Rockies
2%
Chicago Cubs
1%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%
San Diego Padres
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
Texas Rangers
<1%
New York Mets
<1%
Chicago White Sox
18%
Washington Nationals
18%
Cincinnati Reds 41.3%
Milwaukee Brewers 37.0%
Arizona Diamondbacks 26.6%
Detroit Tigers 20.2%
$1,281,514 Vol.
$1,281,514 Vol.
Cincinnati Reds
41%
Milwaukee Brewers
37%
Arizona Diamondbacks
27%
Detroit Tigers
20%
Cleveland Guardians
19%
Houston Astros
18%
Baltimore Orioles
17%
Seattle Mariners
8%
Pittsburgh Pirates
8%
Los Angeles Dodgers
7%
Miami Marlins
4%
Atlanta Braves
4%
Athletics
4%
Toronto Blue Jays
4%
Los Angeles Angels
3%
Tampa Bay Rays
3%
Kansas City Royals
3%
Minnesota Twins
2%
Boston Red Sox
2%
Philadelphia Phillies
2%
New York Yankees
2%
Colorado Rockies
2%
Chicago Cubs
1%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%
San Diego Padres
1%
San Francisco Giants
1%
Texas Rangers
<1%
New York Mets
<1%
Chicago White Sox
18%
Washington Nationals
18%
If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/absResolver
0x69c47De9D...If two teams tie for the highest ABS challenge won%, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more challenges won during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the highest won% cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/abs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/absResolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50% for multiple clubs reflects the highly competitive nature of the 2026 ABS challenge system, where overall success rates hover near 53-54% league-wide with catchers posting notably higher overturn percentages (around 56-60%) than hitters. Recent Statcast and ESPN trackers show modest gaps among teams, driven by roster-specific factors such as catcher framing accuracy, selective challenge usage by pitchers and batters, and coaching adjustments to the two-challenge limit per game. Midseason volatility from limited per-team sample sizes, varying schedule strength, and player availability keeps the leaderboard fluid, preventing any single club from establishing a decisive edge in the eyes of traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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